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A War Begun on Instinct

March 5, 2026 at 11:10 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Hanna Rosin: “The advantage of a gut-driven war decision is that it can yield sudden dramatic results. Ayatollah Ali Khamenei had been a brutal Iranian dictator for nearly four decades. Past American presidents have weighed taking him on, and then decided against it. After Trump ordered strikes, Khamenei was dead within 24 hours.”

“The disadvantage is that following your gut doesn’t account for the past or the future. Trump did not confer with most of our allies, and barely alerted Congress, let alone sought their approval. He did not seem to think through who would succeed Khamenei, or at least, what would happen if certain successors aren’t available.”

Republicans Toil to Avoid Saying ‘War’

March 5, 2026 at 10:59 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

New York Times: “When President Trump gave reporters a brief update this week on the accelerating bombing campaign against Iran, he said: ‘We’re doing very well on the war front.'”

“That complicated matters for Republicans on Capitol Hill, who have spent the days since the U.S.-Israeli attacks began engaging in semantic gymnastics to describe the widening conflict as a ‘major combat operation,’ a ‘mission,’ ‘hostilities’ or really just anything other than ‘war.'”

Arab States Running Dangerously Low on Interceptors

March 5, 2026 at 10:56 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Arab states in the Persian Gulf are running dangerously low on interceptors to take down Iranian-fired missiles,” CBS News reports.

“Governments in the region have asked the U.S. to expedite new supplies, and they’ve been told that officials in Washington are creating a task force to do so — but it isn’t happening as fast as needed.”

An Aerial Success and a Political Mess

March 5, 2026 at 10:15 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

The Economist: “The lopsided encounter embodies the American and Israeli campaign as a whole. At the political level, American officials have offered dubious and sometimes contradictory rationales for war, as well as war aims that shift daily. By contrast, the military campaign evinces careful planning, massive firepower and overwhelming success.”

The Humiliation of JD Vance

March 5, 2026 at 10:10 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Idrees Kahloon: “Vance entered the White House as a man full of ideas—about a more modest place for the United States in world affairs; a new, worker-friendly version of Republican economics; and aggressive, Teddy Roosevelt–style regulation of Big Business. Yet Iran is just the latest example of a noticeable trend: Within the Trump administration, Vance’s opinions seem to matter less and less.”

Democrats Look Strong in Pennsylvania

March 5, 2026 at 9:28 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

A new Franklin & Marshall College poll finds Gov. Josh Shapiro (D) with a considerable lead over Stacy Garrity (R) in the gubernatorial race, 48% to 28%.

Perhaps more important: “Voters said they prefer Democratic candidates 44% to 37% in congressional races.”

“If those views hold through November, it could be pivotal for Democratic efforts to flip the four GOP-held seats they have targeted in Pennsylvania, which include Rep. Scott Perry in the 10th Congressional District, as well as the 1st, 7th and 8th districts.”

Trump Is Furious with Kristi Noem

March 5, 2026 at 9:21 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“President Donald Trump is privately furious with Department of Homeland Security Secretary Kristi Noem for suggesting in her Senate Judiciary Committee testimony on Tuesday that he gave advance approval of a taxpayer-funded $220 million ad campaign contract that was subcontracted to one of her allies,” National Review reports.

“The president is frustrated that the embattled cabinet secretary repeatedly suggested under oath that the president was aware of the multi-million-dollar ad campaign — which featured Noem prominently — and approved its release before the agency greenlit the contract, according to a source familiar with the president’s thinking.”

“One name he has begun floating this week as a potential replacement: Oklahoma’s junior Sen. Markwayne Mullin.”

Trump’s Ballroom Project Poised for Approval

March 5, 2026 at 9:17 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“President Donald Trump’s massive East Wing ballroom project is poised to get its final approval from a government commission that oversees planning for federal buildings and land in the nation’s capital, despite receiving over 32,000 comments from the public overwhelmingly opposing the construction,” CNN reports.

House Kills Effort to Shed Light on Sexual Misconduct

March 5, 2026 at 9:07 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

The House voted to scuttle an effort by Rep. Nancy Mace (R-SC) to shed more light on sexual misconduct allegations against members of Congress, NBC News reports.

“Mace, a conservative Republican who is running to be governor of South Carolina, forced a floor vote on her resolution directing the House Ethics Committee to make public all reports on allegations of congressional lawmakers and aides engaging in sexual misconduct or harassment.”

“But in a 357-65 vote, the House voted to refer the Mace resolution to committee — a move that effectively killed it.”

Montana’s Senate Seat Is Suddenly in Play

March 5, 2026 at 8:56 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Montana politics took a sudden turn just minutes before the candidate filing deadline.

Sen. Steve Daines (R-MT) abruptly withdrew his name from the ballot despite having already filed to seek a third term. Within minutes, U.S. Attorney Kurt Alme (R) filed paperwork to run in his place.

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Jon Ossoff Starts Re-Election Bid Near 50%

March 5, 2026 at 8:42 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

A new Emerson College poll of the 2026 U.S. Senate race in Georgia finds Sen. Jon Ossoff (D-GA) with an edge over potential Republican opponents.

Ossoff leads Rep. Buddy Carter 47% to 44%, with 9% undecided. Ossoff’s lead extends to five points against Rep. Mike Collins, 48% to 43% with 9% undecided. Ossoff leads Derek Dooley by eight points, 49% to 41%, with 10% undecided.

Said pollster Spencer Kimball: “Senator Jon Ossoff enters the 2026 election cycle just under 50% support, anchored by a strong base among independent voters, leading potential Republican opponents by an average of 16 points, along with voters under 50, leading by an average of 12 points, and women, leading by an average of 8 points.”

Government Still Leads as Nation’s Top Problem

March 5, 2026 at 8:24 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Gallup: “Government and political leadership remained Americans’ top concern in February, when asked to identify the ‘most important problem facing this country today.’ Immigration emerged as the clear second choice, followed by the economy and inflation.”

Feud Led Billionaire to Oust Dan Crenshaw

March 5, 2026 at 7:57 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Rep. Dan Crenshaw (R-TX) owes his defeat in this week’s Republican primary to a billionaire megadonor who was hellbent on ending Crenshaw’s career,” Axios reports.

“Texas banker Robert Marling’s role in funding an anti-Crenshaw advertising blitz starkly illustrates how a lone billionaire can banish a member of Congress.”

“Sources close to Marling say it started several years ago, when he invited Crenshaw to appear at an annual conservative youth summit. Crenshaw said he would speak only if audience members wore masks, so the story goes, and Marling said no.”

U.S. Brokers Gold Deal with Venezuela

March 5, 2026 at 7:54 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Venezuela’s state-owned mining company on Monday inked a multimillion-dollar deal to sell as many as 1,000 kilograms of gold destined for U.S. markets,” Axios reports.

Trump Calls on Kurds to Foment an Uprising

March 5, 2026 at 7:44 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“The Trump administration, bracing for more U.S. casualties and considering whether to put troops on the ground in Iran, has begun reaching out to Tehran’s domestic opposition as potential allies to foment an uprising against the regime,” the Washington Post reports.

“In calls this week to Kurdish minority leaders in Iran and neighboring Iraq, President Donald Trump offered ‘extensive U.S. aircover’ and other backing for anti-regime Iranian Kurds to take over portions of western Iran.”

Axios: Kurds backed by Mossad, CIA could lead next phase of war in Iran.

China Signals New Era of Slower Economic Growth

March 5, 2026 at 7:40 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“China signaled that the world’s second-largest economy is entering an era of slower expansion, setting a target for gross domestic product growth of between 4.5% and 5% this year,” the Wall Street Journal reports.

“It is the lowest target set since at least the 1990s and follows three years in which officials called for growth of “around 5%.” If China’s economy were to expand at a pace below 5% this year, it would be the slowest growth reported by the country in more than three decades, other than during the Covid-19 pandemic years.”

Russia Wins as Iran War Drains Supplies from Ukraine

March 5, 2026 at 7:36 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Russia is one of the biggest winners in the early days of the largest U.S. military confrontation in decades, as Iranian missiles deplete stocks of Patriot interceptors that Ukraine needs for its defense,” the Wall Street Journal reports.

“Even before the Iran campaign, production bottlenecks in the U.S.-made Patriot system had drained Ukraine’s reserves and left European allies on yearslong waiting lists. Those shortfalls have allowed Russia to punch through gaps in Ukraine’s air defenses, devastating its power infrastructure and casting Ukrainian cities into blackouts.”

‘No Tax on Overtime’ Isn’t All It Seems

March 5, 2026 at 7:33 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

New York Times: “Despite Mr. Trump’s ‘no tax’ branding, overtime pay is still subject to taxes, including payroll taxes and, potentially, state taxes. Some people who work overtime won’t be able to claim the tax break at all. Only Americans who, according to the Fair Labor Standards Act, must be paid time and a half for working more than 40 hours in a week can claim it. And even then, only a portion of the overtime pay — the additional ‘half’ in time and a half — is exempt from the federal income tax.”

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  • Montana’s Senate Seat Is Suddenly in Play
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About Political Wire

goddard-bw-snapshotTaegan Goddard is the founder of Political Wire, one of the earliest and most influential political web sites. He also runs Political Job Hunt, Electoral Vote Map and the Political Dictionary.

Goddard spent more than a decade as managing director and chief operating officer of a prominent investment firm in New York City. Previously, he was a policy adviser to a U.S. Senator and Governor.

Goddard is also co-author of You Won - Now What? (Scribner, 1998), a political management book hailed by prominent journalists and politicians from both parties. In addition, Goddard's essays on politics and public policy have appeared in dozens of newspapers across the country.

Goddard earned degrees from Vassar College and Harvard University. He lives in New York with his wife and three sons.

Goddard is the owner of Goddard Media LLC.

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